Deep-learning models for the detection and incidence prediction of chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes from retinal fundus images

K Zhang, X Liu, J Xu, J Yuan, W Cai, T Chen… - Nature biomedical …, 2021 - nature.com
K Zhang, X Liu, J Xu, J Yuan, W Cai, T Chen, K Wang, Y Gao, S Nie, X Xu, X Qin, Y Su, W Xu…
Nature biomedical engineering, 2021nature.com
Regular screening for the early detection of common chronic diseases might benefit from the
use of deep-learning approaches, particularly in resource-poor or remote settings. Here we
show that deep-learning models can be used to identify chronic kidney disease and type 2
diabetes solely from fundus images or in combination with clinical metadata (age, sex,
height, weight, body-mass index and blood pressure) with areas under the receiver
operating characteristic curve of 0.85–0.93. The models were trained and validated with a …
Abstract
Regular screening for the early detection of common chronic diseases might benefit from the use of deep-learning approaches, particularly in resource-poor or remote settings. Here we show that deep-learning models can be used to identify chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes solely from fundus images or in combination with clinical metadata (age, sex, height, weight, body-mass index and blood pressure) with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.85–0.93. The models were trained and validated with a total of 115,344 retinal fundus photographs from 57,672 patients and can also be used to predict estimated glomerulal filtration rates and blood-glucose levels, with mean absolute errors of 11.1–13.4 ml min−1 per 1.73 m2 and 0.65–1.1 mmol l−1, and to stratify patients according to disease-progression risk. We evaluated the generalizability of the models for the identification of chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes with population-based external validation cohorts and via a prospective study with fundus images captured with smartphones, and assessed the feasibility of predicting disease progression in a longitudinal cohort.
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